Points
39Points expected by the market
40.49Gap
−1.49Yield
−14.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.21 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −4.69 | −51.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +2.27 | +34.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −1.14 | −22.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.41 | −19.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 2 | −5.11 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +3.26 | +50.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cruzeiro · Home30 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Gremio · Away5 Feb 2026 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.35 |
| M3 | Fluminense · Away12 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.52 |
| M4 | Flamengo RJ · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.51 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.18 |
| M6 | Bragantino · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −0.16 |
| M7 | Athletico-PR · Away29 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.16 |
| M8 | Mirassol · Home1 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.33 |
| M9 | Vasco · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +2.32 |
| M10 | Coritiba · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | +1.52 |
| M11 | Chapecoense-SC · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.87 |
| M12 | Internacional · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +2.46 |
| M13 | Remo · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | +0.41 |
| M14 | Atletico-MG · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.27 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Home17 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.89 |
| M16 | Sao Paulo · Away23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +2.03 |
| M17 | Bahia · Away30 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.97 |
| M18 | Santos · Home16 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.41 |
| M19 | Vitoria · Home23 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +1.54 |
| M20 | Cruzeiro · Away26 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +3.65 |
| M21 | Fluminense · Home9 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +3.11 |
| M22 | Vitoria · Away16 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.94 |
| M23 | Athletico-PR · Home25 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.47 |
| M24 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.47 | 0.00 |
| M25 | Palmeiras · Home6 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.15 |
| M26 | Bragantino · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.57 |
| M27 | Gremio · Home16 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.56 |
| M28 | Mirassol · Away19 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.55 |
| M29 | Vasco · Home8 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.77 |
| M30 | Coritiba · Away12 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −2.22 |
| M31 | Chapecoense-SC · Home17 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −1.49 |
| Total | 39 | −1.49 | |||