Points
41Points expected by the market
43.58Gap
−2.58Yield
−15.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | +0.55 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.79 | −11.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.24 | −47.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.01 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −4.34 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.95 | +268.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.54 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +1.55 | +21.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.19 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coritiba · Away28 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.71 |
| M2 | Atletico-MG · Home4 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.06 |
| M3 | Corinthians · Away12 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.11 |
| M4 | Athletico-PR · Home25 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.44 |
| M5 | Gremio · Away13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.27 |
| M6 | Sao Paulo · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.21 |
| M7 | Bahia · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.01 |
| M8 | Botafogo RJ · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −2.76 |
| M9 | Flamengo RJ · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.81 |
| M10 | Mirassol · Away6 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.09 |
| M11 | Cruzeiro · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.09 |
| M12 | Remo · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.99 |
| M13 | Palmeiras · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.30 |
| M14 | Chapecoense-SC · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.94 |
| M15 | Santos · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.18 |
| M16 | Vitoria · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.78 |
| M17 | Vasco · Away25 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +2.70 |
| M18 | Internacional · Home31 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +4.02 |
| M19 | Fluminense · Away18 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +4.10 |
| M20 | Coritiba · Home26 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.03 | +3.07 |
| M21 | Corinthians · Home9 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.51 |
| M22 | Athletico-PR · Away15 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.48 |
| M23 | Gremio · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.47 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.21 |
| M25 | Bahia · Home5 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.53 |
| M26 | Botafogo RJ · Away13 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.84 |
| M27 | Flamengo RJ · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −1.34 |
| M28 | Atletico-MG · Away3 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.46 |
| M29 | Mirassol · Home7 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −3.35 |
| M30 | Cruzeiro · Home13 Oct 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.89 |
| M31 | Remo · Away18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −2.58 |
| Total | 41 | −2.58 | |||