Points
18Points expected by the market
25.36Gap
−7.36Yield
−53.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.16 | −68.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 10 | −4.21 | −47.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.16 | −68.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.48 | −21.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 7 | −2.73 | −55.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santos · Home28 Jan 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.72 |
| M2 | Vasco · Away5 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | +2.01 |
| M3 | Coritiba · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.67 |
| M4 | Sao Paulo · Away12 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +1.07 |
| M5 | Gremio · Home16 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.83 |
| M6 | Corinthians · Home20 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.67 |
| M7 | Internacional · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +0.10 |
| M8 | Atletico-MG · Home2 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.04 |
| M9 | Vitoria · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.43 |
| M10 | Athletico-PR · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −2.09 |
| M11 | Botafogo RJ · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.17 |
| M12 | Fluminense · Away27 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.64 |
| M13 | Bragantino · Home3 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.60 |
| M14 | Mirassol · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | −4.23 |
| M15 | Remo · Home17 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −5.64 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Away24 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −6.11 |
| M17 | Palmeiras · Away31 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −6.67 |
| M18 | Bahia · Away17 Jul 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −7.26 |
| M19 | Flamengo RJ · Home23 Jul 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.54 | −7.80 |
| M20 | Santos · Away25 Jul 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | −7.32 |
| M21 | Coritiba · Away9 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −8.11 |
| M22 | Bahia · Home16 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.11 | −8.22 |
| M23 | Sao Paulo · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | −6.22 |
| M24 | Gremio · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −6.91 |
| M25 | Corinthians · Away6 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.39 | −4.52 |
| M26 | Internacional · Home12 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.53 |
| M27 | Atletico-MG · Away19 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | −5.10 |
| M28 | Vitoria · Away8 Oct 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −5.85 |
| M29 | Athletico-PR · Home12 Oct 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.82 |
| M30 | Botafogo RJ · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −7.36 |
| Total | 18 | −7.36 | |||