Points
39Points expected by the market
34.13Gap
+4.87Yield
+29.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.16 | +68.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −2.44 | −41.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 18 | +5.15 | +83.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.16 | +68.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.09 | −36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.35 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 18 | +6.14 | +95.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bragantino · Home28 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.39 |
| M2 | Cruzeiro · Away6 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.47 | +1.08 |
| M3 | Chapecoense-SC · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.73 |
| M4 | Sao Paulo · Home25 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.69 |
| M5 | Corinthians · Away12 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.54 |
| M6 | Remo · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.66 |
| M7 | Mirassol · Away18 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +4.89 |
| M8 | Athletico-PR · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.92 |
| M9 | Vasco · Home2 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.56 |
| M10 | Fluminense · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.33 |
| M11 | Botafogo RJ · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +3.41 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.86 |
| M13 | Gremio · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +3.91 |
| M14 | Vitoria · Away2 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.81 |
| M15 | Internacional · Home9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.46 |
| M16 | Santos · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.28 | +4.74 |
| M17 | Bahia · Home26 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.35 |
| M18 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | +5.82 |
| M19 | Palmeiras · Home22 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +4.83 |
| M20 | Bragantino · Away26 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +5.09 |
| M21 | Cruzeiro · Home31 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +3.92 |
| M22 | Chapecoense-SC · Home9 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +4.96 |
| M23 | Sao Paulo · Away16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | +5.17 |
| M24 | Corinthians · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +6.86 |
| M25 | Remo · Away1 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +8.81 |
| M26 | Mirassol · Home6 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +7.43 |
| M27 | Athletico-PR · Home12 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | +7.19 |
| M28 | Vasco · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.54 | +6.65 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Away9 Oct 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.66 | +5.98 |
| M30 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +5.69 |
| M31 | Atletico-MG · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | +4.87 |
| Total | 39 | +4.87 | |||