Points
51Points expected by the market
47.27Gap
+3.73Yield
+12.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.62 | −36.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 25 | +0.95 | −5.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +2.01 | +20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.39 | +58.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.62 | −36.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | −0.44 | −14.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.92 | +248.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | +0.09 | −2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.39 | +58.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Botafogo RJ · Away30 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | Coritiba · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.26 | −3.47 |
| M3 | Mirassol · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.69 |
| M4 | Corinthians · Home25 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −4.60 |
| M5 | Flamengo RJ · Away12 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.24 |
| M6 | Vasco · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.76 | −6.01 |
| M7 | Athletico-PR · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −7.10 |
| M8 | Santos · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.93 | −8.03 |
| M9 | Vitoria · Home2 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −7.12 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −8.25 |
| M11 | Bragantino · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −6.97 |
| M12 | Gremio · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −5.91 |
| M13 | Remo · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.36 |
| M14 | Atletico-MG · Home3 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.81 | −6.17 |
| M15 | Bahia · Away10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −4.19 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −4.17 |
| M17 | Chapecoense-SC · Home24 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.64 | −3.53 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Home1 Jun 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −4.30 |
| M19 | Internacional · Away23 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −2.54 |
| M20 | Botafogo RJ · Home26 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | −4.40 |
| M21 | Coritiba · Away31 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.93 |
| M22 | Mirassol · Home9 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −1.88 |
| M23 | Corinthians · Away16 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +0.16 |
| M24 | Flamengo RJ · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.08 |
| M25 | Vasco · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.07 |
| M26 | Athletico-PR · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.17 |
| M27 | Santos · Away13 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +0.87 |
| M28 | Vitoria · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.35 |
| M29 | Sao Paulo · Home8 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.54 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Away13 Oct 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.34 |
| M31 | Gremio · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.73 |
| Total | 51 | +3.73 | |||