Points
67Points expected by the market
62.25Gap
+4.75Yield
−1.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 39 | +4.55 | +4.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −0.78 | −11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.98 | +19.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 33 | +2.97 | −0.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.92 | −23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.58 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | +0.14 | −9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.98 | +19.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sao Paulo · Away29 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.61 |
| M2 | Internacional · Home4 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −2.82 |
| M3 | Vitoria · Away11 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −1.81 |
| M4 | Cruzeiro · Home12 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −0.94 |
| M5 | Botafogo RJ · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.33 |
| M6 | Remo · Home19 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +0.76 |
| M7 | Corinthians · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.22 |
| M8 | Bragantino · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.43 |
| M9 | Santos · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.71 | −0.72 |
| M10 | Fluminense · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.80 |
| M11 | Bahia · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +1.64 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Away27 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.77 |
| M13 | Vasco · Home3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.17 | +1.61 |
| M14 | Gremio · Away10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.88 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +2.25 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Home24 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.88 | +0.38 |
| M17 | Coritiba · Home30 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +1.08 |
| M18 | Chapecoense-SC · Away23 Jul 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +1.83 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Home26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +0.64 |
| M20 | Internacional · Away29 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | 0.00 |
| M21 | Vitoria · Home9 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +0.57 |
| M22 | Mirassol · Away16 Aug 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.76 |
| M23 | Cruzeiro · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +0.12 |
| M24 | Botafogo RJ · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +0.75 |
| M25 | Mirassol · Home2 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.30 |
| M26 | Remo · Away6 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.13 |
| M27 | Corinthians · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +2.68 |
| M28 | Bragantino · Home20 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +3.36 |
| M29 | Santos · Away8 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +2.53 |
| M30 | Fluminense · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +3.49 |
| M31 | Bahia · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.75 |
| Total | 67 | +4.75 | |||