Points
51Points expected by the market
47.45Gap
+3.55Yield
−8.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +1.30 | +5.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.34 | +1.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.64 | −5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.74 | −41.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +1.30 | +5.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +3.30 | +14.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.03 | +75.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.96 | −37.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.39 | −46.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.74 | −41.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gremio · Home28 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.00 |
| M2 | Bahia · Away5 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.91 |
| M3 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.06 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Away26 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.26 |
| M5 | Remo · Away12 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.50 |
| M6 | Athletico-PR · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | +3.66 |
| M7 | Vasco · Away19 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | +2.05 |
| M8 | Atletico-MG · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.07 |
| M9 | Corinthians · Home2 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +4.23 |
| M10 | Coritiba · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.78 |
| M11 | Flamengo RJ · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.56 |
| M12 | Santos · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.84 | +4.41 |
| M13 | Chapecoense-SC · Home27 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +5.05 |
| M14 | Internacional · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +3.92 |
| M15 | Vitoria · Home9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.10 | +2.82 |
| M16 | Sao Paulo · Home16 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.93 |
| M17 | Mirassol · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +2.65 |
| M18 | Cruzeiro · Away1 Jun 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +2.70 |
| M19 | Bragantino · Home18 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +1.89 |
| M20 | Gremio · Away26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.30 |
| M21 | Bahia · Home30 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.39 |
| M22 | Botafogo RJ · Away9 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.22 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Home15 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.97 |
| M24 | Remo · Home22 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.85 |
| M25 | Athletico-PR · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.66 |
| M26 | Vasco · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.15 |
| M27 | Atletico-MG · Away12 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.08 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +4.98 |
| M29 | Coritiba · Home9 Oct 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +5.86 |
| M30 | Flamengo RJ · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | +5.13 |
| M31 | Santos · Home18 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +3.55 |
| Total | 51 | +3.55 | |||