Points
31Points expected by the market
37.08Gap
−6.08Yield
−54.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.25 | +58.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.14 | −54.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −8.20 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.25 | +58.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.53 | −42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −7.23 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fluminense · Away28 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.75 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Home5 Feb 2026 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.72 |
| M3 | Sao Paulo · Away12 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.23 |
| M4 | Atletico-MG · Home26 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.21 |
| M5 | Bragantino · Home13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.67 |
| M6 | Chapecoense-SC · Away16 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.18 |
| M7 | Vitoria · Home19 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.34 |
| M8 | Vasco · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.38 |
| M9 | Palmeiras · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.33 |
| M10 | Remo · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | −1.25 |
| M11 | Internacional · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −1.13 |
| M12 | Cruzeiro · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −1.94 |
| M13 | Coritiba · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.71 |
| M14 | Athletico-PR · Away3 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.54 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.53 |
| M16 | Bahia · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −1.36 |
| M17 | Santos · Home23 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.05 |
| M18 | Corinthians · Home30 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Mirassol · Away18 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.14 |
| M20 | Fluminense · Home26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −2.26 |
| M21 | Sao Paulo · Home8 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.79 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Away16 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.64 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.39 |
| M24 | Chapecoense-SC · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −1.46 |
| M25 | Vitoria · Away8 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.57 |
| M26 | Vasco · Home12 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.68 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Away16 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.56 |
| M28 | Palmeiras · Home20 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −4.54 |
| M29 | Remo · Away7 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −4.60 |
| M30 | Internacional · Home11 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −4.95 |
| M31 | Cruzeiro · Home18 Oct 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.08 |
| Total | 31 | −6.08 | |||