Points
32Points expected by the market
43.48Gap
−11.48Yield
−45.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.37 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −5.86 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.80 | −40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.44 | −55.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.37 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 9 | −6.56 | −54.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.22 | −38.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.70 | −4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.58 | −42.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.44 | −55.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletico-PR · Home28 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −1.71 |
| M2 | Flamengo RJ · Away4 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −1.29 |
| M3 | Palmeiras · Home13 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.49 |
| M4 | Remo · Away25 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.07 |
| M5 | Atletico-MG · Away11 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.14 |
| M6 | Bahia · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | −5.94 |
| M7 | Santos · Away19 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −4.03 |
| M8 | Chapecoense-SC · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −3.27 |
| M9 | Sao Paulo · Home1 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.84 |
| M10 | Corinthians · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.93 |
| M11 | Gremio · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −2.78 |
| M12 | Mirassol · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −4.55 |
| M13 | Botafogo RJ · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −4.84 |
| M14 | Fluminense · Home3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −3.42 |
| M15 | Coritiba · Away9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.77 |
| M16 | Vasco · Home16 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.51 |
| M17 | Vitoria · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.91 |
| M18 | Bragantino · Away31 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.97 |
| M19 | Cruzeiro · Home23 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −6.44 |
| M20 | Athletico-PR · Away25 Jul 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.44 |
| M21 | Flamengo RJ · Home29 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −7.52 |
| M22 | Palmeiras · Away9 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −7.27 |
| M23 | Remo · Home18 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | −8.41 |
| M24 | Atletico-MG · Home22 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | −9.25 |
| M25 | Bahia · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −10.16 |
| M26 | Santos · Home6 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −11.87 |
| M27 | Chapecoense-SC · Away12 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −10.59 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −11.58 |
| M29 | Corinthians · Home7 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −10.04 |
| M30 | Gremio · Away11 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −10.40 |
| M31 | Mirassol · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −11.48 |
| Total | 32 | −11.48 | |||