Points
36Points expected by the market
40.72Gap
−4.72Yield
−30.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.47 | −4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.35 | −2.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −4.44 | −66.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.47 | −4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.62 | +27.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.27 | −32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −3.52 | −63.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vasco · Home29 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.24 |
| M2 | Remo · Away4 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.78 |
| M3 | Cruzeiro · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.31 |
| M4 | Santos · Home11 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | −0.56 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.36 |
| M6 | Coritiba · Home18 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −3.33 |
| M7 | Vitoria · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.61 |
| M8 | Botafogo RJ · Away1 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.81 |
| M9 | Bragantino · Home6 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.42 |
| M10 | Bahia · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −8.99 |
| M11 | Internacional · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −6.95 |
| M12 | Sao Paulo · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −7.96 |
| M13 | Corinthians · Home4 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −6.36 |
| M14 | Chapecoense-SC · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −7.52 |
| M15 | Atletico-MG · Away16 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −8.53 |
| M16 | Fluminense · Home23 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −6.93 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Away30 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.87 |
| M18 | Gremio · Home18 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | −6.62 |
| M19 | Vasco · Away26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −6.65 |
| M20 | Remo · Home29 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −5.54 |
| M21 | Cruzeiro · Away9 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −6.33 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Home16 Aug 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.92 | −7.25 |
| M23 | Santos · Away23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −7.13 |
| M24 | Palmeiras · Home30 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −7.23 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Away2 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | −7.62 |
| M26 | Coritiba · Away6 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −5.95 |
| M27 | Vitoria · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | −6.75 |
| M28 | Botafogo RJ · Home19 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −5.37 |
| M29 | Bragantino · Away7 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −5.24 |
| M30 | Bahia · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.07 |
| M31 | Internacional · Home17 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.72 |
| Total | 36 | −4.72 | |||