Points
66Points expected by the market
54.48Gap
+11.52Yield
+22.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.18 | +40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 34 | +1.98 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.21 | +39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.15 | +377.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.18 | +40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +2.09 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.11 | −34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.21 | +39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.15 | +377.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico-MG · Away28 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.46 |
| M2 | Vitoria · Home5 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +0.23 |
| M3 | Internacional · Away13 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.71 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Home26 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.77 |
| M5 | Vasco · Away12 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.28 |
| M6 | Mirassol · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.33 |
| M7 | Botafogo RJ · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +3.23 |
| M8 | Sao Paulo · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.92 |
| M9 | Gremio · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +5.84 |
| M10 | Bahia · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +7.54 |
| M11 | Corinthians · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +7.22 |
| M12 | Athletico-PR · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +8.18 |
| M13 | Bragantino · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +9.77 |
| M14 | Santos · Home2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | +8.72 |
| M15 | Remo · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +7.98 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +7.23 |
| M17 | Flamengo RJ · Away24 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +9.38 |
| M18 | Chapecoense-SC · Home31 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +10.14 |
| M19 | Coritiba · Away22 Jul 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +11.43 |
| M20 | Atletico-MG · Home26 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +9.41 |
| M21 | Vitoria · Away30 Jul 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +10.70 |
| M22 | Internacional · Home9 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | +9.68 |
| M23 | Fluminense · Away15 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +8.23 |
| M24 | Vasco · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +9.24 |
| M25 | Mirassol · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +8.62 |
| M26 | Botafogo RJ · Away6 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +8.03 |
| M27 | Sao Paulo · Home12 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +8.86 |
| M28 | Gremio · Away20 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +8.11 |
| M29 | Bahia · Home9 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +9.07 |
| M30 | Corinthians · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +10.04 |
| M31 | Athletico-PR · Away17 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +11.52 |
| Total | 66 | +11.52 | |||