Points
26Points expected by the market
30.80Gap
−4.80Yield
−46.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.91 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +3.26 | +9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 9 | −4.15 | −68.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.91 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +1.55 | −9.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.64 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.71 | +176.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 7 | −2.51 | −59.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vitoria · Away28 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.88 |
| M2 | Mirassol · Home4 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.13 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.71 |
| M4 | Internacional · Home25 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.85 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Home12 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.83 |
| M6 | Coritiba · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −2.69 |
| M7 | Flamengo RJ · Away19 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.30 | −2.99 |
| M8 | Bahia · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.24 |
| M9 | Santos · Away2 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.01 |
| M10 | Gremio · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −1.84 |
| M11 | Vasco · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.10 |
| M12 | Bragantino · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.77 |
| M13 | Cruzeiro · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.04 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.28 | −1.76 |
| M15 | Palmeiras · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −1.75 |
| M16 | Chapecoense-SC · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.04 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Home24 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.62 |
| M18 | Sao Paulo · Home1 Jun 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +0.15 |
| M19 | Corinthians · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.51 |
| M20 | Vitoria · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.01 |
| M21 | Mirassol · Away29 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.14 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Home8 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.20 |
| M23 | Internacional · Away18 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.16 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Away22 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.48 |
| M25 | Coritiba · Home1 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −2.14 |
| M26 | Flamengo RJ · Home6 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −2.77 |
| M27 | Bahia · Away15 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.41 |
| M28 | Santos · Home19 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.64 |
| M29 | Gremio · Home7 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −5.30 |
| M30 | Vasco · Away10 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.55 | −4.75 |
| M31 | Bragantino · Home18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.80 |
| Total | 26 | −4.80 | |||