Points
42Points expected by the market
43.56Gap
−1.56Yield
−10.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −1.36 | −14.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +0.07 | +0.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.08 | −38.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.36 | −5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.19 | +77.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.93 | +270.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.11 | −34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.01 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Flamengo RJ · Home29 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +1.93 |
| M2 | Santos · Away4 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.78 |
| M3 | Gremio · Home12 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.02 |
| M4 | Coritiba · Away25 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.75 |
| M5 | Chapecoense-SC · Home12 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +5.57 |
| M6 | Bragantino · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +7.35 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +6.17 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +4.80 |
| M9 | Internacional · Away1 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +4.67 |
| M10 | Cruzeiro · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.11 |
| M11 | Vitoria · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +4.67 |
| M12 | Vasco · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.57 |
| M13 | Mirassol · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.86 |
| M14 | Bahia · Home3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +4.18 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Away10 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.15 |
| M16 | Fluminense · Away16 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.30 |
| M17 | Botafogo RJ · Home23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.40 |
| M18 | Remo · Away1 Jun 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.07 |
| M19 | Athletico-PR · Home23 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.77 |
| M20 | Flamengo RJ · Away26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | −1.36 |
| M21 | Gremio · Away8 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.54 |
| M22 | Coritiba · Home16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −3.47 |
| M23 | Chapecoense-SC · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −5.18 |
| M24 | Bragantino · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −3.63 |
| M25 | Atletico-MG · Home5 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −2.37 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Away12 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −2.97 |
| M27 | Internacional · Home20 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.69 |
| M28 | Santos · Home3 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −3.30 |
| M29 | Cruzeiro · Away8 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.23 |
| M30 | Vitoria · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −3.13 |
| M31 | Vasco · Home18 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.56 |
| Total | 42 | −1.56 | |||