Points
35Points expected by the market
43.16Gap
−8.16Yield
−33.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.65 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −2.10 | −10.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.94 | −41.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −1.47 | −56.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.65 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.49 | −23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.24 | +50.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.91 | +252.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.17 | −68.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −3.38 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mirassol · Away29 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.96 |
| M2 | Chapecoense-SC · Home5 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −2.01 |
| M3 | Bahia · Home12 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −3.55 |
| M4 | Santos · Away26 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.62 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Home12 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.84 |
| M6 | Cruzeiro · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.79 |
| M7 | Fluminense · Home19 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.91 | −0.88 |
| M8 | Gremio · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.35 |
| M9 | Coritiba · Away2 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.02 |
| M10 | Botafogo RJ · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.69 |
| M11 | Remo · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.14 |
| M12 | Sao Paulo · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −0.75 |
| M13 | Corinthians · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.87 |
| M14 | Flamengo RJ · Away3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.39 | −1.48 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Home11 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.31 |
| M16 | Internacional · Away16 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.29 |
| M17 | Bragantino · Home25 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −2.92 |
| M18 | Atletico-MG · Home31 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.66 |
| M19 | Vitoria · Away16 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.95 |
| M20 | Mirassol · Home26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −6.63 |
| M21 | Bahia · Away9 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −6.69 |
| M22 | Santos · Home16 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −8.43 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −9.19 |
| M24 | Cruzeiro · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −7.90 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −9.10 |
| M26 | Gremio · Away12 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −7.71 |
| M27 | Coritiba · Home20 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −6.98 |
| M28 | Botafogo RJ · Away8 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −5.49 |
| M29 | Remo · Home10 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.39 | −6.87 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Away18 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.16 |
| Total | 35 | −8.16 | |||