Points
37Points expected by the market
34.31Gap
+2.69Yield
−26.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.94 | +90.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 20 | +5.08 | +38.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 5 | −7.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.94 | +90.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +6.62 | +69.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.55 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 5 | −5.58 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Remo · Home28 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.16 |
| M2 | Palmeiras · Away5 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.49 | +0.67 |
| M3 | Flamengo RJ · Home11 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.09 |
| M4 | Bahia · Away11 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.09 |
| M5 | Atletico-MG · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.58 |
| M6 | Gremio · Away19 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.70 |
| M7 | Mirassol · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.29 |
| M8 | Cruzeiro · Away2 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +1.61 |
| M9 | Chapecoense-SC · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.29 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.04 |
| M11 | Corinthians · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.65 |
| M12 | Athletico-PR · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.91 |
| M13 | Coritiba · Home2 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.32 |
| M14 | Fluminense · Away9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.32 | +3.64 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.91 |
| M16 | Internacional · Home23 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.62 |
| M17 | Santos · Away31 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.82 |
| M18 | Vasco · Home16 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.40 |
| M19 | Botafogo RJ · Away23 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +5.51 |
| M20 | Remo · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +4.28 |
| M21 | Palmeiras · Home30 Jul 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.29 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Away9 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | +2.88 |
| M23 | Botafogo RJ · Home16 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.34 |
| M24 | Bahia · Home23 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +2.99 |
| M25 | Atletico-MG · Away29 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.04 |
| M26 | Gremio · Home8 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.44 |
| M27 | Mirassol · Away13 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +3.51 |
| M28 | Cruzeiro · Home20 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +2.29 |
| M29 | Chapecoense-SC · Home8 Oct 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.27 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.44 |
| M31 | Corinthians · Away20 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +2.69 |
| Total | 37 | +2.69 | |||