Points
69Points expected by the market
68.02Gap
+0.98Yield
−2.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 32 | −1.08 | −6.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +3.10 | +11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.72 | +3.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 23 | −1.01 | −9.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +2.25 | +29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.54 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | −0.07 | +2.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +0.85 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.26 | +54.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Augsburg · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.40 | +0.40 |
| M2 | FC Koln · Away23 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +1.30 |
| M3 | Union Berlin · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.26 | −0.96 |
| M4 | Leverkusen · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.24 |
| M5 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away22 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.75 |
| M6 | Werder Bremen · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.34 | −2.09 |
| M7 | Freiburg · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −3.07 |
| M8 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −2.12 |
| M9 | Schalke 04 · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −2.68 |
| M10 | Wolfsburg · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −1.76 |
| M11 | Bayern Munich · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.54 |
| M12 | Paderborn · Home22 Nov 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.59 | −4.13 |
| M13 | Hertha · Away30 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | −3.00 |
| M14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −2.34 |
| M15 | Mainz · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −1.45 |
| M16 | RB Leipzig · Home17 Dec 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.99 |
| M17 | Hoffenheim · Away20 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.89 |
| M18 | Augsburg · Away18 Jan 2020 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.95 | −2.94 |
| M19 | FC Koln · Home24 Jan 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.61 | −2.33 |
| M20 | Union Berlin · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.54 | −1.79 |
| M21 | Leverkusen · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.77 | −3.56 |
| M22 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home14 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −2.75 |
| M23 | Werder Bremen · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −1.99 |
| M24 | Freiburg · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −1.48 |
| M25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away7 Mar 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.10 |
| M26 | Schalke 04 · Home16 May 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.84 |
| M27 | Wolfsburg · Away23 May 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.08 |
| M28 | Bayern Munich · Home26 May 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.09 |
| M29 | Paderborn · Away31 May 2020 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +1.73 |
| M30 | Hertha · Home6 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.51 |
| M31 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away13 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.28 |
| M32 | Mainz · Home17 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.37 | +0.92 |
| M33 | RB Leipzig · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.73 |
| M34 | Hoffenheim · Home27 Jun 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.75 | +0.98 |
| Total | 69 | +0.98 | |||