Points
49Points expected by the market
49.47Gap
−0.47Yield
−4.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 26 | −0.99 | −10.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.01 | +18.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.33 | −19.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −5.79 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.38 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.80 | +88.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.63 | +28.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.43 | +20.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Koln · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Hertha · Away25 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.05 |
| M3 | Paderborn · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | +1.89 |
| M4 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away13 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Hoffenheim · Home23 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.71 |
| M6 | Mainz · Away28 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.27 |
| M7 | Union Berlin · Home6 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.52 |
| M8 | RB Leipzig · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | +3.82 |
| M9 | Augsburg · Home27 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +2.81 |
| M10 | Dortmund · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | +2.12 |
| M11 | Leverkusen · Home10 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.94 |
| M12 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +2.84 |
| M13 | Werder Bremen · Home1 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | +1.22 |
| M14 | Freiburg · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.32 |
| M15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home15 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.32 |
| M16 | Schalke 04 · Home18 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.68 |
| M17 | Bayern Munich · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +0.33 |
| M18 | FC Koln · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Hertha · Home25 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.08 |
| M20 | Paderborn · Away2 Feb 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.26 | −1.82 |
| M21 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | −2.89 |
| M22 | Hoffenheim · Away15 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.18 |
| M23 | Mainz · Home23 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.04 |
| M24 | Union Berlin · Away1 Mar 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.40 |
| M25 | RB Leipzig · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.49 |
| M26 | Augsburg · Away16 May 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.91 |
| M27 | Dortmund · Home23 May 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.07 |
| M28 | Leverkusen · Away26 May 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.10 |
| M29 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home30 May 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.40 |
| M30 | Werder Bremen · Away7 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.67 |
| M31 | Freiburg · Home13 Jun 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +0.65 |
| M32 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away16 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.56 |
| M33 | Schalke 04 · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.31 |
| M34 | Bayern Munich · Home27 Jun 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.47 |
| Total | 49 | −0.47 | |||