Points
78Points expected by the market
77.92Gap
+0.08Yield
−1.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | 58 | −1.73 | −8.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.21 | +0.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.60 | +153.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 35 | +2.32 | +2.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.09 | −22.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 23 | −4.05 | −22.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.12 | +18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.60 | +153.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Schalke 04 · Home18 Sep 2020 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.32 | +0.32 |
| M2 | Hoffenheim · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −2.47 | −2.14 |
| M3 | Hertha · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.44 | −1.70 |
| M4 | Bielefeld · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.39 | −1.31 |
| M5 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.45 | −0.86 |
| M6 | FC Koln · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | −0.28 |
| M7 | Dortmund · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.12 |
| M8 | Werder Bremen · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.61 | −0.49 |
| M9 | Stuttgart · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +0.11 |
| M10 | RB Leipzig · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.97 | −0.86 |
| M11 | Union Berlin · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.34 | −2.19 |
| M12 | Wolfsburg · Home16 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.69 | −1.50 |
| M13 | Leverkusen · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.22 |
| M14 | Mainz · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.30 | +0.08 |
| M15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away8 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.00 | −1.92 |
| M16 | Freiburg · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.55 | −1.37 |
| M17 | Augsburg · Away20 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.44 | −0.92 |
| M18 | Schalke 04 · Away24 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.44 | −0.49 |
| M19 | Hoffenheim · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +0.04 |
| M20 | Hertha · Away5 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +0.65 |
| M21 | Bielefeld · Home15 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.58 | −0.94 |
| M22 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −2.75 |
| M23 | FC Koln · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.50 | −2.25 |
| M24 | Dortmund · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.96 | −1.28 |
| M25 | Werder Bremen · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.50 | −0.78 |
| M26 | Stuttgart · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −0.22 |
| M27 | RB Leipzig · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.38 |
| M28 | Union Berlin · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | +0.56 |
| M29 | Wolfsburg · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.81 |
| M30 | Leverkusen · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +2.72 |
| M31 | Mainz · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.43 | +0.29 |
| M32 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home8 May 2021 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +1.09 |
| M33 | Freiburg · Away15 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.39 | −0.30 |
| M34 | Augsburg · Home22 May 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.37 | +0.08 |
| Total | 78 | +0.08 | |||