Points
49Points expected by the market
55.03Gap
−6.03Yield
−15.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.36 | −6.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 26 | −5.63 | −26.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −0.80 | −15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.05 | +21.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.44 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 12 | −7.31 | −50.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.72 | +111.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.20 | +386.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.68 | +7.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −4.52 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.16 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dortmund · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Union Berlin · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.17 | −1.96 |
| M3 | FC Koln · Away3 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.76 |
| M4 | Wolfsburg · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −1.61 |
| M5 | Mainz · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.34 |
| M6 | RB Leipzig · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.35 |
| M7 | Leverkusen · Away8 Nov 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.08 |
| M8 | Augsburg · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −1.16 |
| M9 | Schalke 04 · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.73 | −0.43 |
| M10 | Freiburg · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.11 |
| M11 | Hertha · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.69 |
| M12 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.12 |
| M13 | Hoffenheim · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −3.89 |
| M14 | Bielefeld · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −2.88 |
| M15 | Bayern Munich · Home8 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.20 | −0.68 |
| M16 | Stuttgart · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.12 |
| M17 | Werder Bremen · Home19 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.16 |
| M18 | Dortmund · Home22 Jan 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.73 |
| M19 | Union Berlin · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.10 |
| M20 | FC Koln · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −0.96 |
| M21 | Wolfsburg · Away14 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.22 |
| M22 | Mainz · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −3.14 |
| M23 | RB Leipzig · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.89 |
| M24 | Leverkusen · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.29 |
| M25 | Augsburg · Away12 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.90 | −7.19 |
| M26 | Schalke 04 · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −6.39 |
| M27 | Freiburg · Home3 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −5.29 |
| M28 | Hertha · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −5.85 |
| M29 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −4.31 |
| M30 | Hoffenheim · Away21 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.72 |
| M31 | Bielefeld · Home25 Apr 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −4.71 |
| M32 | Bayern Munich · Away8 May 2021 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.62 | −5.33 |
| M33 | Stuttgart · Home15 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.10 | −7.44 |
| M34 | Werder Bremen · Away22 May 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.03 |
| Total | 49 | −6.03 | |||