Points
64Points expected by the market
67.97Gap
−3.97Yield
−6.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 30 | −4.78 | −20.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | −0.46 | −0.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.03 | +69.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 17 | −4.45 | −29.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 15 | +2.78 | +29.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.33 | +15.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 13 | −0.33 | −7.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −3.24 | −19.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.70 | +179.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.76 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.02 |
| M2 | Augsburg · Away26 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.15 | −1.13 |
| M3 | Freiburg · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −0.38 |
| M4 | Hoffenheim · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.77 |
| M5 | Schalke 04 · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +1.22 |
| M6 | Bielefeld · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.92 |
| M7 | Bayern Munich · Home7 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.76 |
| M8 | Hertha · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.99 | +1.74 |
| M9 | FC Koln · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.50 | −0.75 |
| M10 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −1.44 |
| M11 | Stuttgart · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −2.17 | −3.61 |
| M12 | Werder Bremen · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | −2.73 |
| M13 | Union Berlin · Away18 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −4.64 |
| M14 | Wolfsburg · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −3.73 |
| M15 | RB Leipzig · Away9 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.03 |
| M16 | Mainz · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.52 | −3.55 |
| M17 | Leverkusen · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −5.21 |
| M18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away22 Jan 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.65 | −6.86 |
| M19 | Augsburg · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.53 | −6.33 |
| M20 | Freiburg · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −8.33 |
| M21 | Hoffenheim · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.17 | −9.50 |
| M22 | Schalke 04 · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −8.87 |
| M23 | Bielefeld · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.53 | −8.34 |
| M24 | Bayern Munich · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −9.10 |
| M25 | Hertha · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −8.22 |
| M26 | FC Koln · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | −9.37 |
| M27 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −11.25 |
| M28 | Stuttgart · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | −10.08 |
| M29 | Werder Bremen · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.65 | −9.43 |
| M30 | Union Berlin · Home21 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −8.55 |
| M31 | Wolfsburg · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −7.18 |
| M32 | RB Leipzig · Home8 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | −5.69 |
| M33 | Mainz · Away16 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | −4.92 |
| M34 | Leverkusen · Home22 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −3.97 |
| Total | 64 | −3.97 | |||