Points
60Points expected by the market
50.85Gap
+9.15Yield
+10.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.83 | −34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 28 | +4.20 | +11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.69 | −2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +4.08 | +64.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.65 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +2.34 | −2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +4.74 | +68.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.10 | +95.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.48 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.86 | +41.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.05 | −42.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.98 | +44.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bielefeld · Home19 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.88 |
| M2 | Hertha · Away25 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.87 |
| M3 | Hoffenheim · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.57 |
| M4 | FC Koln · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +2.07 |
| M5 | Bayern Munich · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.33 | +1.74 |
| M6 | Werder Bremen · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +0.90 |
| M7 | Stuttgart · Away7 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.52 |
| M8 | RB Leipzig · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.58 |
| M9 | Union Berlin · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.33 |
| M10 | Dortmund · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.26 |
| M11 | Wolfsburg · Away11 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.01 |
| M12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.32 | −1.33 |
| M13 | Augsburg · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.06 |
| M14 | Leverkusen · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.80 |
| M15 | Mainz · Away9 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.08 |
| M16 | Schalke 04 · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +3.98 |
| M17 | Freiburg · Away20 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.52 |
| M18 | Bielefeld · Away23 Jan 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.66 |
| M19 | Hertha · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.77 |
| M20 | Hoffenheim · Away7 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +7.29 |
| M21 | FC Koln · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +8.26 |
| M22 | Bayern Munich · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +10.29 |
| M23 | Werder Bremen · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +8.46 |
| M24 | Stuttgart · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +7.67 |
| M25 | RB Leipzig · Away14 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | +7.87 |
| M26 | Union Berlin · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.13 |
| M27 | Dortmund · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +11.24 |
| M28 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.57 | +12.81 |
| M29 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.29 | +11.52 |
| M30 | Augsburg · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +12.18 |
| M31 | Leverkusen · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +10.99 |
| M32 | Mainz · Home9 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +10.26 |
| M33 | Schalke 04 · Away15 May 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.48 | +7.78 |
| M34 | Freiburg · Home22 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +9.15 |
| Total | 60 | +9.15 | |||