Points
45Points expected by the market
40.41Gap
+4.59Yield
+3.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.31 | +22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 22 | +0.75 | −15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +1.53 | +21.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.31 | +22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.11 | −18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.86 | +27.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.36 | −12.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.68 | +18.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stuttgart · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.85 |
| M2 | Wolfsburg · Home27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.56 |
| M3 | Dortmund · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.56 | +1.00 |
| M4 | Werder Bremen · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +0.39 |
| M5 | Union Berlin · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.28 |
| M6 | Leverkusen · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.80 |
| M7 | RB Leipzig · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.37 |
| M8 | Mainz · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.75 | −3.12 |
| M9 | Augsburg · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −3.37 |
| M10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −3.44 |
| M11 | Bielefeld · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −2.30 |
| M12 | Schalke 04 · Away16 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −0.87 |
| M13 | Hertha · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.76 |
| M14 | Hoffenheim · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.62 |
| M15 | FC Koln · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.96 |
| M16 | Bayern Munich · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | +3.55 |
| M17 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home20 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +3.27 |
| M18 | Stuttgart · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.06 |
| M19 | Wolfsburg · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +4.03 |
| M20 | Dortmund · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | +6.25 |
| M21 | Werder Bremen · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +5.94 |
| M22 | Union Berlin · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +4.45 |
| M23 | Leverkusen · Away28 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +6.57 |
| M24 | RB Leipzig · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +5.76 |
| M25 | Mainz · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +4.56 |
| M26 | Augsburg · Home21 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.73 |
| M27 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away3 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +4.87 |
| M28 | Bielefeld · Away9 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.54 |
| M29 | Schalke 04 · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.57 |
| M30 | Hoffenheim · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +4.37 |
| M31 | Hertha · Away6 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.21 |
| M32 | FC Koln · Away9 May 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +5.20 |
| M33 | Bayern Munich · Home15 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.53 | +5.73 |
| M34 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away22 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +4.59 |
| Total | 45 | +4.59 | |||