Points
35Points expected by the market
42.89Gap
−7.89Yield
−44.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.28 | −33.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | +1.70 | −15.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 1 | −6.31 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.40 | −36.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.17 | +6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −1.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.88 | −23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.53 | −36.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −4.36 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Werder Bremen · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.69 |
| M2 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home25 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.19 |
| M3 | Bayern Munich · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.32 | −0.13 |
| M4 | Stuttgart · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.81 |
| M5 | RB Leipzig · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.52 |
| M6 | Wolfsburg · Home1 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.97 |
| M7 | Augsburg · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.47 |
| M8 | Dortmund · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.24 |
| M9 | Leverkusen · Away29 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −2.24 |
| M10 | Union Berlin · Home4 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.58 |
| M11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.73 |
| M12 | Mainz · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.48 |
| M13 | Freiburg · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.82 |
| M14 | Schalke 04 · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.75 |
| M15 | Bielefeld · Away10 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −3.54 |
| M16 | FC Koln · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.05 |
| M17 | Hoffenheim · Home19 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.51 |
| M18 | Werder Bremen · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.12 |
| M19 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −7.99 |
| M20 | Bayern Munich · Home5 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −8.44 |
| M21 | Stuttgart · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −8.60 |
| M22 | RB Leipzig · Home21 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −9.32 |
| M23 | Wolfsburg · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −10.25 |
| M24 | Augsburg · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −8.89 |
| M25 | Dortmund · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −9.56 |
| M26 | Leverkusen · Home21 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −7.65 |
| M27 | Union Berlin · Away4 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −7.94 |
| M28 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −8.11 |
| M29 | Mainz · Away3 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −8.33 |
| M30 | Freiburg · Home6 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −6.87 |
| M31 | Bielefeld · Home9 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −7.66 |
| M32 | Schalke 04 · Away12 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | −6.75 |
| M33 | FC Koln · Home15 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −7.03 |
| M34 | Hoffenheim · Away22 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.89 |
| Total | 35 | −7.89 | |||