Points
43Points expected by the market
46.26Gap
−3.26Yield
−0.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.62 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 11 | −6.71 | −47.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +0.53 | −12.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +2.31 | +76.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.62 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.63 | −25.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.71 | +26.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.82 | +245.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.09 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.18 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +1.49 | −25.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Koln · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.65 |
| M2 | Bayern Munich · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.59 | +4.25 |
| M3 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +2.80 |
| M4 | Dortmund · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.87 |
| M5 | Werder Bremen · Away25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.46 |
| M6 | Union Berlin · Home2 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −0.27 |
| M7 | Wolfsburg · Away8 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.42 |
| M8 | Stuttgart · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.93 |
| M9 | Mainz · Away29 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.49 |
| M10 | Augsburg · Home7 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −1.34 |
| M11 | Leverkusen · Away13 Dec 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.27 |
| M12 | RB Leipzig · Home16 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.12 |
| M13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −1.12 |
| M14 | Freiburg · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.73 |
| M15 | Schalke 04 · Away9 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.84 | −4.57 |
| M16 | Bielefeld · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | −5.46 |
| M17 | Hertha · Away19 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.72 |
| M18 | FC Koln · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −2.61 |
| M19 | Bayern Munich · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −3.00 |
| M20 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home7 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.26 |
| M21 | Dortmund · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | −3.90 |
| M22 | Werder Bremen · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.45 |
| M23 | Union Berlin · Away28 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.80 |
| M24 | Wolfsburg · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −1.15 |
| M25 | Stuttgart · Away14 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.49 |
| M26 | Mainz · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.23 |
| M27 | Augsburg · Away3 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −5.92 |
| M28 | Leverkusen · Home12 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.20 |
| M29 | RB Leipzig · Away16 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.45 | −5.75 |
| M30 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home21 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.08 |
| M31 | Freiburg · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −4.63 |
| M32 | Schalke 04 · Home8 May 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.62 | −4.01 |
| M33 | Bielefeld · Away15 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −4.35 |
| M34 | Hertha · Home22 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −3.26 |
| Total | 43 | −3.26 | |||