Points
39Points expected by the market
36.83Gap
+2.17Yield
+33.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.09 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −3.09 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 22 | +8.35 | +94.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.50 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −2.30 | −32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.70 | +159.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.79 | −3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 16 | +7.65 | +53.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | RB Leipzig · Away20 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.57 |
| M2 | Stuttgart · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.00 |
| M3 | Union Berlin · Away2 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.10 |
| M4 | Leverkusen · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.84 |
| M5 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.86 |
| M6 | Augsburg · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −6.09 |
| M7 | Schalke 04 · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −6.58 |
| M8 | Freiburg · Away22 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −4.58 |
| M9 | Hoffenheim · Home29 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −4.78 |
| M10 | Bielefeld · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −6.29 |
| M11 | FC Koln · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.73 |
| M12 | Hertha · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −7.73 |
| M13 | Werder Bremen · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −9.22 |
| M14 | Bayern Munich · Away3 Jan 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.21 | −9.43 |
| M15 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home9 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −10.46 |
| M16 | Dortmund · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.65 | −9.80 |
| M17 | Wolfsburg · Home19 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −10.73 |
| M18 | RB Leipzig · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.44 | −8.29 |
| M19 | Stuttgart · Away29 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −9.08 |
| M20 | Union Berlin · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −7.32 |
| M21 | Leverkusen · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.35 | −6.97 |
| M22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −4.79 |
| M23 | Augsburg · Home28 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −6.46 |
| M24 | Schalke 04 · Away5 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −7.05 |
| M25 | Freiburg · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −5.56 |
| M26 | Hoffenheim · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −3.56 |
| M27 | Bielefeld · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −4.39 |
| M28 | FC Koln · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.83 |
| M29 | Werder Bremen · Away21 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.35 |
| M30 | Bayern Munich · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.57 | +1.22 |
| M31 | Hertha · Home3 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.74 |
| M32 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away9 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.71 |
| M33 | Dortmund · Home16 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.59 | +0.12 |
| M34 | Wolfsburg · Away22 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.17 |
| Total | 39 | +2.17 | |||