Points
16Points expected by the market
27.59Gap
−11.59Yield
−44.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −4.51 | −71.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 8 | −7.08 | −33.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.17 | −64.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | +0.42 | +78.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.34 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 2 | −7.50 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bayern Munich · Away18 Sep 2020 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.23 | −0.23 |
| M2 | Werder Bremen · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.60 |
| M3 | RB Leipzig · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.46 | −2.06 |
| M4 | Union Berlin · Home18 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.27 |
| M5 | Dortmund · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.32 | −2.59 |
| M6 | Stuttgart · Home30 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.79 |
| M7 | Mainz · Away7 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −3.01 |
| M8 | Wolfsburg · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.03 |
| M9 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.54 | −4.58 |
| M10 | Leverkusen · Home6 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −5.26 |
| M11 | Augsburg · Away13 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −5.38 |
| M12 | Freiburg · Home16 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.53 |
| M13 | Bielefeld · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −8.07 |
| M14 | Hertha · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.89 |
| M15 | Hoffenheim · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −6.81 |
| M16 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −7.50 |
| M17 | FC Koln · Home20 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −8.77 |
| M18 | Bayern Munich · Home24 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.32 | −9.10 |
| M19 | Werder Bremen · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −9.18 |
| M20 | RB Leipzig · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | −9.68 |
| M21 | Union Berlin · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −9.51 |
| M22 | Dortmund · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.46 | −9.97 |
| M23 | Stuttgart · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.73 | −10.69 |
| M24 | Mainz · Home5 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −10.83 |
| M25 | Wolfsburg · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.57 | −11.41 |
| M26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −12.01 |
| M27 | Leverkusen · Away3 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −12.46 |
| M28 | Augsburg · Home11 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −10.76 |
| M29 | Freiburg · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −11.54 |
| M30 | Bielefeld · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −12.50 |
| M31 | Hoffenheim · Away8 May 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.46 | −12.95 |
| M32 | Hertha · Home12 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −13.65 |
| M33 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home15 May 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.62 | −11.03 |
| M34 | FC Koln · Away22 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −11.59 |
| Total | 16 | −11.59 | |||