Points
42Points expected by the market
44.73Gap
−2.73Yield
+42.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.39 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −6.30 | −47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +4.50 | +43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +0.46 | +137.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.39 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 6 | −6.74 | −77.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.57 | +33.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.50 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.44 | +4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.92 | +59.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +1.96 | +216.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dortmund · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.66 |
| M2 | Augsburg · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | −1.66 |
| M3 | Bielefeld · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.28 |
| M4 | Stuttgart · Home12 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.93 |
| M5 | Wolfsburg · Away19 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −2.87 |
| M6 | FC Koln · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −3.48 |
| M7 | Bayern Munich · Away3 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.79 | −0.69 |
| M8 | Hertha · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −2.58 |
| M9 | Bochum · Away24 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −4.24 |
| M10 | RB Leipzig · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −4.12 |
| M11 | Greuther Furth · Away7 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −2.80 |
| M12 | Freiburg · Away21 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −0.76 |
| M13 | Union Berlin · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.76 |
| M14 | Hoffenheim · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.27 |
| M15 | Leverkusen · Home12 Dec 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.53 |
| M16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away15 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.91 | +3.44 |
| M17 | Mainz · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +5.01 |
| M18 | Dortmund · Home8 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +4.06 |
| M19 | Augsburg · Away16 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +3.58 |
| M20 | Bielefeld · Home21 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +1.65 |
| M21 | Stuttgart · Away5 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.38 |
| M22 | Wolfsburg · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +1.76 |
| M23 | FC Koln · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.52 |
| M24 | Bayern Munich · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.16 |
| M25 | Hertha · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.25 |
| M26 | Bochum · Home13 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.21 |
| M27 | RB Leipzig · Away20 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.43 | +2.65 |
| M28 | Greuther Furth · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.39 | +1.25 |
| M29 | Freiburg · Home10 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.23 |
| M30 | Union Berlin · Away17 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.28 |
| M31 | Hoffenheim · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.77 |
| M32 | Leverkusen · Away2 May 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.41 |
| M33 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home8 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.75 |
| M34 | Mainz · Away14 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −2.73 |
| Total | 42 | −2.73 | |||