Points
34Points expected by the market
31.62Gap
+2.38Yield
+42.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −2.66 | −19.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 19 | +5.03 | +85.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +0.71 | +2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +2.34 | +198.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.37 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +2.69 | +37.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Freiburg · Home6 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.11 |
| M2 | Leverkusen · Away13 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.52 | +1.42 |
| M3 | Mainz · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +0.40 |
| M4 | Hoffenheim · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.21 |
| M5 | Hertha · Home4 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.63 |
| M6 | Werder Bremen · Away9 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.33 | +0.70 |
| M7 | Bayern Munich · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.68 | +3.38 |
| M8 | Schalke 04 · Away2 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.00 | +5.39 |
| M9 | Wolfsburg · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +5.09 |
| M10 | FC Koln · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +4.30 |
| M11 | RB Leipzig · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.19 | +4.49 |
| M12 | Stuttgart · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +3.75 |
| M13 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.85 |
| M14 | Union Berlin · Away9 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +3.02 |
| M15 | Bochum · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.57 |
| M16 | Dortmund · Away22 Jan 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.44 | +1.13 |
| M17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home25 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.96 |
| M18 | Freiburg · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +2.18 |
| M19 | Leverkusen · Home3 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +4.18 |
| M20 | Mainz · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.25 |
| M21 | Hoffenheim · Home17 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.89 |
| M22 | Hertha · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.79 |
| M23 | Werder Bremen · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.24 |
| M24 | Bayern Munich · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.21 | +5.03 |
| M25 | Schalke 04 · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +4.56 |
| M26 | Wolfsburg · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | +4.83 |
| M27 | FC Koln · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.70 |
| M28 | RB Leipzig · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.36 | +3.35 |
| M29 | Stuttgart · Home21 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +3.18 |
| M30 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | +3.44 |
| M31 | Union Berlin · Home6 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.26 |
| M32 | Bochum · Away13 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +4.06 |
| M33 | Dortmund · Home21 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.45 |
| M34 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away27 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.38 |
| Total | 34 | +2.38 | |||