Points
71Points expected by the market
78.88Gap
−7.88Yield
−18.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 60 | −2.98 | −11.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −4.90 | −41.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 35 | −2.40 | −18.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.17 | −24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 25 | −0.58 | −2.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −3.73 | −47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away5 Aug 2022 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.86 |
| M2 | Wolfsburg · Home14 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +1.26 |
| M3 | Bochum · Away21 Aug 2022 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +1.72 |
| M4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.55 | +0.17 |
| M5 | Union Berlin · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | −1.10 |
| M6 | Stuttgart · Home10 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.50 | −2.60 |
| M7 | Augsburg · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.57 | −5.17 |
| M8 | Leverkusen · Home30 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −4.45 |
| M9 | Dortmund · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | −5.33 |
| M10 | Freiburg · Home16 Oct 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −4.51 |
| M11 | Hoffenheim · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −3.53 |
| M12 | Mainz · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.51 | −3.02 |
| M13 | Hertha · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.58 | −2.44 |
| M14 | Werder Bremen · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.42 | −2.02 |
| M15 | Schalke 04 · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −1.50 |
| M16 | RB Leipzig · Away20 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −2.26 |
| M17 | FC Koln · Home24 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.50 | −3.76 |
| M18 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home28 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.29 | −5.05 |
| M19 | Wolfsburg · Away5 Feb 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.94 | −4.11 |
| M20 | Bochum · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.35 | −3.75 |
| M21 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.22 | −5.97 |
| M22 | Union Berlin · Home26 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −5.17 |
| M23 | Stuttgart · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −4.35 |
| M24 | Augsburg · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.29 | −4.05 |
| M25 | Leverkusen · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −5.98 |
| M26 | Dortmund · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.90 | −5.09 |
| M27 | Freiburg · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −4.24 |
| M28 | Hoffenheim · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.54 | −5.78 |
| M29 | Mainz · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.09 | −7.87 |
| M30 | Hertha · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.29 | −7.58 |
| M31 | Werder Bremen · Away6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | −7.00 |
| M32 | Schalke 04 · Home13 May 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.37 | −6.63 |
| M33 | RB Leipzig · Home20 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.07 | −8.70 |
| M34 | FC Koln · Away27 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −7.88 |
| Total | 71 | −7.88 | |||