Points
43Points expected by the market
43.46Gap
−0.46Yield
−8.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.33 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −3.61 | −14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | +0.81 | −13.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +4.50 | +38.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.65 | +23.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.40 | +594.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.17 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.26 | −56.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hoffenheim · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Schalke 04 · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.76 |
| M3 | Hertha · Home19 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +1.65 |
| M4 | Bayern Munich · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.66 | +2.32 |
| M5 | Mainz · Home4 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +0.83 |
| M6 | Freiburg · Away11 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.70 |
| M7 | RB Leipzig · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.50 |
| M8 | Werder Bremen · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.10 |
| M9 | FC Koln · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.45 |
| M10 | Wolfsburg · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +1.97 |
| M11 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.63 |
| M12 | Union Berlin · Away30 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.34 |
| M13 | Stuttgart · Home4 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.12 |
| M14 | Bochum · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.29 |
| M15 | Dortmund · Home11 Nov 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.60 |
| M16 | Leverkusen · Home22 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.31 |
| M17 | Augsburg · Away25 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.26 |
| M18 | Hoffenheim · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.66 |
| M19 | Schalke 04 · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | −0.35 |
| M20 | Hertha · Away12 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.79 |
| M21 | Bayern Munich · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.40 | +0.62 |
| M22 | Mainz · Away24 Feb 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.54 |
| M23 | Freiburg · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.05 |
| M24 | RB Leipzig · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.61 |
| M25 | Werder Bremen · Home17 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | −2.38 |
| M26 | FC Koln · Away2 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −2.55 |
| M27 | Wolfsburg · Home9 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.98 |
| M28 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.98 |
| M29 | Union Berlin · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.42 |
| M30 | Stuttgart · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.28 |
| M31 | Bochum · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.92 |
| M32 | Dortmund · Away13 May 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.39 | −2.31 |
| M33 | Leverkusen · Away21 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.53 | −1.78 |
| M34 | Augsburg · Home27 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.46 |
| Total | 43 | −0.46 | |||