Points
71Points expected by the market
61.92Gap
+9.08Yield
+13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 20 | −0.87 | −10.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 37 | +9.05 | +38.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.49 | +22.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 16 | −0.50 | −5.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 24 | +8.37 | +67.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.48 | +129.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.37 | −29.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +0.68 | +4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.01 | +7.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leverkusen · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.36 |
| M2 | Freiburg · Away12 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.85 |
| M3 | Werder Bremen · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.23 | +0.62 |
| M4 | Hertha · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.73 |
| M5 | Hoffenheim · Home2 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.90 |
| M6 | RB Leipzig · Away10 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.59 |
| M7 | Schalke 04 · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +2.38 |
| M8 | FC Koln · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.82 |
| M9 | Bayern Munich · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.91 |
| M10 | Union Berlin · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.53 |
| M11 | Stuttgart · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.42 |
| M12 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.02 |
| M13 | Bochum · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.59 |
| M14 | Wolfsburg · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.08 |
| M15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away11 Nov 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.56 |
| M16 | Augsburg · Home22 Jan 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.60 | +0.04 |
| M17 | Mainz · Away25 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.46 |
| M18 | Leverkusen · Away29 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.13 |
| M19 | Freiburg · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +4.19 |
| M20 | Werder Bremen · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +5.28 |
| M21 | Hertha · Home19 Feb 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +6.08 |
| M22 | Hoffenheim · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +7.16 |
| M23 | RB Leipzig · Home3 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +8.64 |
| M24 | Schalke 04 · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +7.82 |
| M25 | FC Koln · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +8.75 |
| M26 | Bayern Munich · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.70 | +8.04 |
| M27 | Union Berlin · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +9.08 |
| M28 | Stuttgart · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.49 | +8.59 |
| M29 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +9.57 |
| M30 | Bochum · Away28 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | +8.42 |
| M31 | Wolfsburg · Home7 May 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +9.31 |
| M32 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home13 May 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.51 | +9.82 |
| M33 | Augsburg · Away21 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +10.60 |
| M34 | Mainz · Home27 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.53 | +9.08 |
| Total | 71 | +9.08 | |||