Points
50Points expected by the market
49.99Gap
+0.01Yield
−15.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −0.91 | −17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +2.97 | +11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.74 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | −0.29 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.68 | +110.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.67 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.61 | −12.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.71 | −24.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bayern Munich · Home5 Aug 2022 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Hertha · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.19 |
| M3 | FC Koln · Home21 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −1.80 |
| M4 | Werder Bremen · Away28 Aug 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.05 |
| M5 | RB Leipzig · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.85 |
| M6 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +0.09 |
| M7 | Stuttgart · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.79 |
| M8 | Union Berlin · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.31 |
| M9 | Bochum · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +1.57 |
| M10 | Leverkusen · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.17 |
| M11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.78 |
| M12 | Dortmund · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.43 |
| M13 | Augsburg · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.57 |
| M14 | Hoffenheim · Home9 Nov 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.04 | +5.61 |
| M15 | Mainz · Away13 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +5.21 |
| M16 | Schalke 04 · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +5.90 |
| M17 | Freiburg · Away25 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +5.69 |
| M18 | Bayern Munich · Away28 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | +6.14 |
| M19 | Hertha · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +7.03 |
| M20 | FC Koln · Away12 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +5.62 |
| M21 | Werder Bremen · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.56 |
| M22 | RB Leipzig · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +5.78 |
| M23 | Wolfsburg · Away5 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +5.51 |
| M24 | Stuttgart · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +4.87 |
| M25 | Union Berlin · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.71 |
| M26 | Bochum · Home31 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | +2.63 |
| M27 | Leverkusen · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.66 |
| M28 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.91 |
| M29 | Dortmund · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.13 |
| M30 | Augsburg · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −0.92 |
| M31 | Hoffenheim · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.26 |
| M32 | Mainz · Home13 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.90 |
| M33 | Schalke 04 · Away20 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.38 |
| M34 | Freiburg · Home27 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.01 |
| Total | 50 | +0.01 | |||