Points
42Points expected by the market
42.99Gap
−0.99Yield
−18.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.62 | +8.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 21 | −3.70 | −23.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +1.09 | −32.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +2.96 | +51.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.65 | −41.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.34 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.05 | −3.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.77 | −9.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Schalke 04 · Home7 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.31 |
| M2 | RB Leipzig · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | +1.69 |
| M3 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away21 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +1.56 |
| M4 | Stuttgart · Home28 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.06 |
| M5 | Wolfsburg · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.93 |
| M6 | Union Berlin · Home11 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.48 |
| M7 | Bochum · Away18 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.86 |
| M8 | Dortmund · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.67 |
| M9 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.58 |
| M10 | Augsburg · Home16 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.59 |
| M11 | Mainz · Away21 Oct 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.09 | +1.50 |
| M12 | Hoffenheim · Home30 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.34 |
| M13 | Freiburg · Away6 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.55 |
| M14 | Leverkusen · Home9 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.65 |
| M15 | Hertha · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.94 |
| M16 | Werder Bremen · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 7-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.62 |
| M17 | Bayern Munich · Away24 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.00 |
| M18 | Schalke 04 · Away29 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.72 |
| M19 | RB Leipzig · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.75 |
| M20 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.94 |
| M21 | Stuttgart · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.24 |
| M22 | Wolfsburg · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.74 |
| M23 | Union Berlin · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.71 |
| M24 | Bochum · Home10 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −3.63 |
| M25 | Dortmund · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.35 |
| M26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home2 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.91 |
| M27 | Augsburg · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −3.50 |
| M28 | Mainz · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.86 |
| M29 | Hoffenheim · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −2.06 |
| M30 | Freiburg · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.50 |
| M31 | Leverkusen · Away5 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −1.26 |
| M32 | Hertha · Home12 May 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.02 |
| M33 | Werder Bremen · Away20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.35 |
| M34 | Bayern Munich · Home27 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.99 |
| Total | 42 | −0.99 | |||