Points
59Points expected by the market
47.65Gap
+11.35Yield
+11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 38 | +13.17 | +63.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +1.11 | −10.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −2.93 | −47.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 32 | +10.59 | +57.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.22 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.59 | +100.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.33 | +18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.33 | −30.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Augsburg · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.38 |
| M2 | Dortmund · Home12 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.15 |
| M3 | Stuttgart · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.76 |
| M4 | Bochum · Home26 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +2.66 |
| M5 | Leverkusen · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.07 | +4.72 |
| M6 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home11 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +4.12 |
| M7 | Hoffenheim · Away18 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +3.96 |
| M8 | Mainz · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.36 |
| M9 | Hertha · Away9 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +4.82 |
| M10 | Bayern Munich · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.63 | +4.19 |
| M11 | Werder Bremen · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.47 |
| M12 | Schalke 04 · Away30 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +6.68 |
| M13 | FC Koln · Home6 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +7.70 |
| M14 | RB Leipzig · Away9 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +6.82 |
| M15 | Union Berlin · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.14 |
| M16 | Wolfsburg · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.17 | +6.97 |
| M17 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home25 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +6.46 |
| M18 | Augsburg · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +7.49 |
| M19 | Dortmund · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.83 | +6.66 |
| M20 | Stuttgart · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +7.99 |
| M21 | Bochum · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +9.57 |
| M22 | Leverkusen · Home26 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +9.08 |
| M23 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +8.86 |
| M24 | Hoffenheim · Home12 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +10.05 |
| M25 | Mainz · Away19 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +10.02 |
| M26 | Hertha · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +9.19 |
| M27 | Bayern Munich · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | +8.54 |
| M28 | Werder Bremen · Away16 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +10.17 |
| M29 | Schalke 04 · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +11.32 |
| M30 | FC Koln · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +13.05 |
| M31 | RB Leipzig · Home6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +12.09 |
| M32 | Union Berlin · Away13 May 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.03 | +11.06 |
| M33 | Wolfsburg · Home19 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +12.49 |
| M34 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away27 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +11.35 |
| Total | 59 | +11.35 | |||