Points
29Points expected by the market
35.20Gap
−6.20Yield
−25.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.50 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −1.94 | −25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 6 | −6.75 | −39.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.50 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.96 | −16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −2.91 | −44.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −3.58 | −13.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Union Berlin · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.93 |
| M2 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.15 |
| M3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away19 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −1.85 |
| M4 | Dortmund · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.74 |
| M5 | Augsburg · Away4 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.05 |
| M6 | Leverkusen · Home10 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.03 |
| M7 | Mainz · Away16 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.91 |
| M8 | Hoffenheim · Home2 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.16 |
| M9 | Freiburg · Home9 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.35 |
| M10 | RB Leipzig · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −1.99 |
| M11 | Schalke 04 · Home23 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.86 |
| M12 | Werder Bremen · Away28 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.97 |
| M13 | Bayern Munich · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.40 |
| M14 | Stuttgart · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.49 |
| M15 | FC Koln · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.92 |
| M16 | Bochum · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.13 |
| M17 | Wolfsburg · Home24 Jan 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.38 |
| M18 | Union Berlin · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.45 |
| M19 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −6.12 |
| M20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.41 |
| M21 | Dortmund · Away19 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.60 | −5.02 |
| M22 | Augsburg · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.64 |
| M23 | Leverkusen · Away5 Mar 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.30 |
| M24 | Mainz · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −4.51 |
| M25 | Hoffenheim · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.51 |
| M26 | Freiburg · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −5.40 |
| M27 | RB Leipzig · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −6.20 |
| M28 | Schalke 04 · Away14 Apr 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.18 | −7.38 |
| M29 | Werder Bremen · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −8.89 |
| M30 | Bayern Munich · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.21 | −9.10 |
| M31 | Stuttgart · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −7.33 |
| M32 | FC Koln · Away12 May 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.98 | −8.31 |
| M33 | Bochum · Home20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.78 |
| M34 | Wolfsburg · Away27 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.58 | −6.20 |
| Total | 29 | −6.20 | |||