Points
36Points expected by the market
44.10Gap
−8.10Yield
−28.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −1.37 | −16.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.79 | −19.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −3.74 | −55.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.13 | −22.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | −0.12 | +3.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.63 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.76 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.66 | −47.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.11 | −45.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.11 |
| M2 | Bochum · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.97 | −0.14 |
| M3 | Leverkusen · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +2.06 |
| M4 | Augsburg · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +2.86 |
| M5 | Dortmund · Away2 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.93 |
| M6 | Mainz · Home10 Sep 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.47 |
| M7 | Freiburg · Home18 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +2.90 |
| M8 | Hertha · Away2 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.41 |
| M9 | Werder Bremen · Home7 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +0.71 |
| M10 | Schalke 04 · Away14 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.04 |
| M11 | Bayern Munich · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +1.27 |
| M12 | FC Koln · Away30 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.69 |
| M13 | RB Leipzig · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.61 |
| M14 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away9 Nov 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.42 |
| M15 | Wolfsburg · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.04 |
| M16 | Union Berlin · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −4.17 |
| M17 | Stuttgart · Home24 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −4.79 |
| M18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.67 | −6.46 |
| M19 | Bochum · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.40 | −7.86 |
| M20 | Leverkusen · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −9.21 |
| M21 | Augsburg · Away17 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −10.58 |
| M22 | Dortmund · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −11.44 |
| M23 | Mainz · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −12.44 |
| M24 | Freiburg · Away12 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −13.37 |
| M25 | Hertha · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −12.11 |
| M26 | Werder Bremen · Away2 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −10.27 |
| M27 | Schalke 04 · Home9 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −9.02 |
| M28 | Bayern Munich · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.66 | −8.36 |
| M29 | FC Koln · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −9.88 |
| M30 | RB Leipzig · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | −10.43 |
| M31 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home6 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −8.83 |
| M32 | Wolfsburg · Away13 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.88 |
| M33 | Union Berlin · Home20 May 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.49 | −8.38 |
| M34 | Stuttgart · Away27 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −8.10 |
| Total | 36 | −8.10 | |||