Points
50Points expected by the market
55.21Gap
−5.21Yield
−7.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −2.13 | −28.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 18 | −8.00 | −34.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.17 | +15.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.76 | +52.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −2.13 | −28.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 11 | −6.16 | −42.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.67 | +64.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.15 | +357.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.83 | −21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.49 | +1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.39 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dortmund · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Augsburg · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.36 | −3.48 |
| M3 | Hoffenheim · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.00 | −5.48 |
| M4 | Mainz · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.76 |
| M5 | Freiburg · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −5.58 |
| M6 | Hertha · Away10 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | −6.35 |
| M7 | Werder Bremen · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −7.34 |
| M8 | Bayern Munich · Away30 Sep 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −7.90 |
| M9 | Schalke 04 · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −7.14 |
| M10 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.33 | −8.47 |
| M11 | Wolfsburg · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −9.32 |
| M12 | RB Leipzig · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −10.15 |
| M13 | Union Berlin · Home6 Nov 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −8.69 |
| M14 | FC Koln · Away9 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −7.23 |
| M15 | Stuttgart · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −6.07 |
| M16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away22 Jan 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.52 |
| M17 | Bochum · Home25 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −3.68 |
| M18 | Dortmund · Home29 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.10 |
| M19 | Augsburg · Away3 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −6.85 |
| M20 | Hoffenheim · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −5.23 |
| M21 | Mainz · Home19 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −6.97 |
| M22 | Freiburg · Away26 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −7.21 |
| M23 | Hertha · Home5 Mar 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.87 | −6.34 |
| M24 | Werder Bremen · Away12 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.99 |
| M25 | Bayern Munich · Home19 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −2.84 |
| M26 | Schalke 04 · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −1.64 |
| M27 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.43 |
| M28 | Wolfsburg · Away16 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.84 |
| M29 | RB Leipzig · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.79 |
| M30 | Union Berlin · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.36 |
| M31 | FC Koln · Home5 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −1.65 |
| M32 | Stuttgart · Away14 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.99 |
| M33 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home21 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.37 | −3.36 |
| M34 | Bochum · Away27 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.85 | −5.21 |
| Total | 50 | −5.21 | |||