Points
31Points expected by the market
33.25Gap
−2.25Yield
−37.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.39 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +6.56 | +57.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 10 | −8.42 | −78.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.39 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +5.12 | +62.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −4.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.44 | +40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 7 | −4.39 | −67.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Koln · Away7 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.05 |
| M2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.19 |
| M3 | Wolfsburg · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −1.14 |
| M4 | Union Berlin · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.34 |
| M5 | Stuttgart · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −2.18 |
| M6 | Bochum · Home10 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.82 |
| M7 | Dortmund · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.42 |
| M8 | Augsburg · Home2 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.75 | −3.17 |
| M9 | Leverkusen · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.58 | −3.74 |
| M10 | Hoffenheim · Home14 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.82 |
| M11 | Hertha · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.71 |
| M12 | Freiburg · Home30 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −6.66 |
| M13 | Werder Bremen · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −7.40 |
| M14 | Mainz · Home9 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −5.49 |
| M15 | Bayern Munich · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.86 |
| M16 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −6.37 |
| M17 | RB Leipzig · Home24 Jan 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.69 | −7.07 |
| M18 | FC Koln · Home29 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −7.09 |
| M19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −6.87 |
| M20 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −6.90 |
| M21 | Union Berlin · Away19 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −6.65 |
| M22 | Stuttgart · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −4.84 |
| M23 | Bochum · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −3.16 |
| M24 | Dortmund · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | −3.08 |
| M25 | Augsburg · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −3.32 |
| M26 | Leverkusen · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.26 |
| M27 | Hoffenheim · Away9 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.26 |
| M28 | Hertha · Home14 Apr 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.47 | −3.79 |
| M29 | Freiburg · Away23 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.68 |
| M30 | Werder Bremen · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.14 |
| M31 | Mainz · Away5 May 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.17 | −0.97 |
| M32 | Bayern Munich · Away13 May 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.27 | −1.24 |
| M33 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home20 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.51 |
| M34 | RB Leipzig · Away27 May 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.25 |
| Total | 31 | −2.25 | |||