Points
62Points expected by the market
48.54Gap
+13.46Yield
+32.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +3.66 | +18.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 30 | +8.80 | +52.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.17 | −4.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +4.12 | +20.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 13 | +6.20 | +117.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.44 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.47 | +8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +2.60 | +23.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.27 | +20.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hertha · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.20 |
| M2 | Mainz · Away14 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.05 |
| M3 | RB Leipzig · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.91 |
| M4 | Schalke 04 · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.39 |
| M5 | Bayern Munich · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | +4.83 |
| M6 | FC Koln · Away11 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +6.56 |
| M7 | Wolfsburg · Home18 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +7.89 |
| M8 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +6.66 |
| M9 | Stuttgart · Away9 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +8.30 |
| M10 | Dortmund · Home16 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +10.04 |
| M11 | Bochum · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +8.20 |
| M12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home30 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +9.45 |
| M13 | Leverkusen · Away6 Nov 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.16 | +8.29 |
| M14 | Augsburg · Home9 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | +7.38 |
| M15 | Freiburg · Away13 Nov 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +6.37 |
| M16 | Hoffenheim · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +7.80 |
| M17 | Werder Bremen · Away25 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +9.38 |
| M18 | Hertha · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +10.75 |
| M19 | Mainz · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +11.98 |
| M20 | RB Leipzig · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +14.10 |
| M21 | Schalke 04 · Home19 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | +13.11 |
| M22 | Bayern Munich · Away26 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.59 | +12.53 |
| M23 | FC Koln · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +11.80 |
| M24 | Wolfsburg · Away12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +11.49 |
| M25 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home19 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +12.95 |
| M26 | Stuttgart · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +14.30 |
| M27 | Dortmund · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +13.50 |
| M28 | Bochum · Home16 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | +12.57 |
| M29 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away23 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +14.31 |
| M30 | Leverkusen · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +14.03 |
| M31 | Augsburg · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +12.51 |
| M32 | Freiburg · Home13 May 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +13.84 |
| M33 | Hoffenheim · Away20 May 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +12.63 |
| M34 | Werder Bremen · Home27 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +13.46 |
| Total | 62 | +13.46 | |||