Points
49Points expected by the market
45.58Gap
+3.42Yield
+6.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.44 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −4.03 | −53.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 29 | +7.37 | +32.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +2.51 | +25.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.44 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.67 | −37.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +3.64 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.73 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.36 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.74 | +58.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +3.25 | +41.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Werder Bremen · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.65 |
| M2 | Bayern Munich · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.30 | −0.94 |
| M3 | Schalke 04 · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.75 |
| M4 | RB Leipzig · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.47 |
| M5 | FC Koln · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.59 | −4.06 |
| M6 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away10 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −2.05 |
| M7 | Union Berlin · Away18 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.09 |
| M8 | Stuttgart · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.52 |
| M9 | Augsburg · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.94 |
| M10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −2.20 |
| M11 | Leverkusen · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −2.10 |
| M12 | Bochum · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −0.97 |
| M13 | Mainz · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.99 |
| M14 | Dortmund · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.77 |
| M15 | Hoffenheim · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +4.65 |
| M16 | Freiburg · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.10 |
| M17 | Hertha · Away24 Jan 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.63 |
| M18 | Werder Bremen · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +5.97 |
| M19 | Bayern Munich · Home5 Feb 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.73 | +5.24 |
| M20 | Schalke 04 · Away10 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +4.53 |
| M21 | RB Leipzig · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.32 |
| M22 | FC Koln · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +5.10 |
| M23 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home5 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +4.64 |
| M24 | Union Berlin · Home12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.26 |
| M25 | Stuttgart · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +6.21 |
| M26 | Augsburg · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.04 | +5.16 |
| M27 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away9 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.86 |
| M28 | Leverkusen · Home16 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +3.54 |
| M29 | Bochum · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.98 |
| M30 | Mainz · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.45 |
| M31 | Dortmund · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.70 | +5.74 |
| M32 | Hoffenheim · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +7.03 |
| M33 | Freiburg · Away19 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +5.86 |
| M34 | Hertha · Home27 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.44 | +3.42 |
| Total | 49 | +3.42 | |||