Points
39Points expected by the market
39.79Gap
−0.79Yield
−23.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.90 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +4.57 | +7.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 5 | −4.46 | −69.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.26 | −23.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +4.87 | +25.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +110.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −0.31 | −13.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −2.46 | −56.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.29 |
| M2 | Bayern Munich · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.21 | −0.50 |
| M3 | Bochum · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −1.06 |
| M4 | RB Leipzig · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | −1.48 |
| M5 | Mainz · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.10 |
| M6 | Freiburg · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.82 |
| M7 | Darmstadt · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −2.66 |
| M8 | Heidenheim · Away22 Oct 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.88 |
| M9 | Wolfsburg · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.71 |
| M10 | FC Koln · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.62 |
| M11 | Hoffenheim · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.17 |
| M12 | Union Berlin · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.15 |
| M13 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.78 |
| M14 | Werder Bremen · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.58 |
| M15 | Dortmund · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.42 |
| M16 | Stuttgart · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −0.12 |
| M17 | Leverkusen · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.81 |
| M18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away21 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.23 |
| M19 | Bayern Munich · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +0.72 |
| M20 | Bochum · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.50 |
| M21 | RB Leipzig · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.63 |
| M22 | Mainz · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.38 |
| M23 | Freiburg · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.15 |
| M24 | Darmstadt · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.52 |
| M25 | Heidenheim · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.58 |
| M26 | Wolfsburg · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.37 |
| M27 | FC Koln · Home31 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +4.42 |
| M28 | Hoffenheim · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | +3.16 |
| M29 | Union Berlin · Home12 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.54 |
| M30 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away19 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.51 |
| M31 | Werder Bremen · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.91 | +1.60 |
| M32 | Dortmund · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.49 |
| M33 | Stuttgart · Home10 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.45 |
| M34 | Leverkusen · Away18 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.34 | −0.79 |
| Total | 39 | −0.79 | |||