Points
72Points expected by the market
77.30Gap
−5.30Yield
−11.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 25 | 58 | −3.38 | −6.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +0.73 | −3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.64 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 36 | +0.31 | +2.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.04 | +9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 22 | −3.69 | −17.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.31 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.64 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Werder Bremen · Away18 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +0.65 |
| M2 | Augsburg · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.29 | +0.94 |
| M3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +1.50 |
| M4 | Leverkusen · Home15 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +0.48 |
| M5 | Bochum · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +0.85 |
| M6 | RB Leipzig · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | 0.00 |
| M7 | Freiburg · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.33 | +0.33 |
| M8 | Mainz · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +0.95 |
| M9 | Darmstadt · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.24 | +1.19 |
| M10 | Dortmund · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.38 |
| M11 | Heidenheim · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.30 | +2.68 |
| M12 | FC Koln · Away24 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +3.25 |
| M13 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −2.34 | +0.91 |
| M14 | Stuttgart · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +1.82 |
| M15 | Wolfsburg · Away20 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.66 |
| M16 | Hoffenheim · Home12 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +3.00 |
| M17 | Werder Bremen · Home21 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.73 | +0.27 |
| M18 | Union Berlin · Home24 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.37 | +0.64 |
| M19 | Augsburg · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.30 |
| M20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.38 | +1.68 |
| M21 | Leverkusen · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.42 |
| M22 | Bochum · Away18 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.25 | −1.83 |
| M23 | RB Leipzig · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −0.69 |
| M24 | Freiburg · Away1 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.13 | −1.82 |
| M25 | Mainz · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 8-1 | 3 | +0.52 | −1.29 |
| M26 | Darmstadt · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.38 | −0.91 |
| M27 | Dortmund · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.28 | −3.19 |
| M28 | Heidenheim · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.26 | −5.45 |
| M29 | FC Koln · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.49 | −4.96 |
| M30 | Union Berlin · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −3.89 |
| M31 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −3.07 |
| M32 | Stuttgart · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.45 |
| M33 | Wolfsburg · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −3.57 |
| M34 | Hoffenheim · Away18 May 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.72 | −5.30 |
| Total | 72 | −5.30 | |||