Points
33Points expected by the market
37.37Gap
−4.37Yield
−24.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.18 | −28.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −3.33 | −41.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | −0.08 | −4.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.18 | −28.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −1.21 | −34.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +3.08 | +128.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.12 | −49.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −3.16 | −64.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stuttgart · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.90 |
| M2 | Dortmund · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.60 |
| M3 | Augsburg · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.78 |
| M4 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.07 |
| M5 | Bayern Munich · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.26 | −1.33 |
| M6 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.86 |
| M7 | RB Leipzig · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.57 | −2.29 |
| M8 | Freiburg · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.18 |
| M9 | Mainz · Home27 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −3.49 |
| M10 | Darmstadt · Away3 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.72 |
| M11 | FC Koln · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.10 |
| M12 | Heidenheim · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.34 |
| M13 | Wolfsburg · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.72 |
| M14 | Hoffenheim · Away8 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.63 |
| M15 | Union Berlin · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.02 |
| M16 | Leverkusen · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.36 | −0.38 |
| M17 | Werder Bremen · Home14 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.99 |
| M18 | Stuttgart · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +1.09 |
| M19 | Dortmund · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +0.52 |
| M20 | Augsburg · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.02 |
| M21 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.14 |
| M22 | Bayern Munich · Home18 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.43 | +2.57 |
| M23 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.44 |
| M24 | RB Leipzig · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +0.60 |
| M25 | Freiburg · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.83 |
| M26 | Mainz · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.76 |
| M27 | Darmstadt · Home31 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.14 | −2.90 |
| M28 | FC Koln · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.10 |
| M29 | Heidenheim · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −4.74 |
| M30 | Wolfsburg · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.75 |
| M31 | Hoffenheim · Home26 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | −4.32 |
| M32 | Union Berlin · Away5 May 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.99 | −2.33 |
| M33 | Leverkusen · Home12 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.22 |
| M34 | Werder Bremen · Away18 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.37 |
| Total | 33 | −4.37 | |||