Points
34Points expected by the market
40.33Gap
−6.33Yield
−44.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.49 | −33.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −2.34 | −51.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −1.51 | −47.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.49 | −33.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.36 | −41.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.21 | −6.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.98 | −56.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.30 | −63.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Augsburg · Away19 Aug 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.45 |
| M2 | Leverkusen · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.36 |
| M3 | Bayern Munich · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −1.79 |
| M4 | Darmstadt · Away17 Sep 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.28 | −2.06 |
| M5 | RB Leipzig · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.92 |
| M6 | Bochum · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.13 |
| M7 | Mainz · Home6 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.71 |
| M8 | FC Koln · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.00 |
| M9 | Heidenheim · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −1.92 |
| M10 | Freiburg · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.98 |
| M11 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −0.46 |
| M12 | Dortmund · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.17 |
| M13 | Hoffenheim · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.27 |
| M14 | Union Berlin · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.81 |
| M15 | Werder Bremen · Home15 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −1.43 |
| M16 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.30 |
| M17 | Stuttgart · Home14 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −0.32 |
| M18 | Augsburg · Home21 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −2.11 |
| M19 | Leverkusen · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.62 | −1.49 |
| M20 | Bayern Munich · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −1.77 |
| M21 | Darmstadt · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | −2.74 |
| M22 | RB Leipzig · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −3.24 |
| M23 | Bochum · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.85 |
| M24 | Mainz · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.83 |
| M25 | FC Koln · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.83 | −2.66 |
| M26 | Heidenheim · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.02 |
| M27 | Freiburg · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −4.65 |
| M28 | Wolfsburg · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −2.68 |
| M29 | Dortmund · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.81 |
| M30 | Hoffenheim · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.23 | −5.04 |
| M31 | Union Berlin · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −5.46 |
| M32 | Werder Bremen · Away4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −5.61 |
| M33 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −5.95 |
| M34 | Stuttgart · Away18 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.39 | −6.33 |
| Total | 34 | −6.33 | |||