Points
17Points expected by the market
26.79Gap
−9.79Yield
−57.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.01 | −58.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 12 | −5.77 | −57.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.01 | −58.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 1 | −6.54 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 11 | +0.77 | −32.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.65 |
| M2 | Union Berlin · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.65 |
| M3 | Leverkusen · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.37 | −2.02 |
| M4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home17 Sep 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.48 |
| M5 | Stuttgart · Away22 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −3.03 |
| M6 | Werder Bremen · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.28 |
| M7 | Augsburg · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +0.81 |
| M8 | RB Leipzig · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.16 |
| M9 | Bayern Munich · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.17 | −0.01 |
| M10 | Bochum · Home3 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.51 |
| M11 | Mainz · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.71 |
| M12 | Freiburg · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −1.41 |
| M13 | FC Koln · Home1 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.75 |
| M14 | Heidenheim · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.69 |
| M15 | Wolfsburg · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.71 |
| M16 | Hoffenheim · Away19 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.33 | −4.38 |
| M17 | Dortmund · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.19 |
| M18 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −5.23 |
| M19 | Union Berlin · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.04 |
| M20 | Leverkusen · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −6.49 |
| M21 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | −6.29 |
| M22 | Stuttgart · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −6.91 |
| M23 | Werder Bremen · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −6.78 |
| M24 | Augsburg · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.10 | −7.88 |
| M25 | RB Leipzig · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.24 | −8.12 |
| M26 | Bayern Munich · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.28 | −8.40 |
| M27 | Bochum · Away31 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.35 | −8.06 |
| M28 | Mainz · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.59 | −8.65 |
| M29 | Freiburg · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −9.52 |
| M30 | FC Koln · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.39 | −7.13 |
| M31 | Heidenheim · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.29 |
| M32 | Wolfsburg · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −8.76 |
| M33 | Hoffenheim · Home12 May 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.78 | −9.54 |
| M34 | Dortmund · Away18 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.25 | −9.79 |
| Total | 17 | −9.79 | |||