Points
63Points expected by the market
58.06Gap
+4.94Yield
+6.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 16 | −0.21 | −4.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 38 | +7.32 | +19.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −2.04 | −53.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.13 | +40.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 16 | −0.21 | −4.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +2.71 | +23.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +4.61 | +16.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.36 | −22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.84 | +76.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Koln · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.84 |
| M2 | Bochum · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.26 |
| M3 | Heidenheim · Home1 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.43 | −1.69 |
| M4 | Freiburg · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.18 |
| M5 | Wolfsburg · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.93 |
| M6 | Hoffenheim · Away29 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.33 |
| M7 | Union Berlin · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.40 |
| M8 | Werder Bremen · Home20 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +4.01 |
| M9 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.55 | +3.46 |
| M10 | Bayern Munich · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.49 |
| M11 | Stuttgart · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.17 |
| M12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.07 |
| M13 | Leverkusen · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +2.27 |
| M14 | RB Leipzig · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.93 |
| M15 | Augsburg · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.33 |
| M16 | Mainz · Home19 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −0.75 |
| M17 | Darmstadt · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +0.27 |
| M18 | FC Koln · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.49 |
| M19 | Bochum · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +2.24 |
| M20 | Heidenheim · Away2 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.57 |
| M21 | Freiburg · Home9 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.41 |
| M22 | Wolfsburg · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.78 |
| M23 | Hoffenheim · Home25 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.16 | −0.38 |
| M24 | Union Berlin · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.99 |
| M25 | Werder Bremen · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.20 |
| M26 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.25 |
| M27 | Bayern Munich · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.44 | +5.69 |
| M28 | Stuttgart · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | +4.00 |
| M29 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.39 |
| M30 | Leverkusen · Home21 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +5.04 |
| M31 | RB Leipzig · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.77 | +4.28 |
| M32 | Augsburg · Home4 May 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.62 |
| M33 | Mainz · Away11 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +4.60 |
| M34 | Darmstadt · Home18 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +4.94 |
| Total | 63 | +4.94 | |||