Points
47Points expected by the market
46.09Gap
+0.91Yield
+7.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.08 | −17.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 18 | −5.33 | −55.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +4.31 | +183.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.76 | −6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.85 | −68.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.50 | +764.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.48 | −46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.80 | +86.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Darmstadt · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.85 |
| M2 | Mainz · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.53 |
| M3 | FC Koln · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.08 |
| M4 | Bochum · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.50 |
| M5 | Freiburg · Home24 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −1.07 |
| M6 | Wolfsburg · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.18 |
| M7 | Heidenheim · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −1.06 |
| M8 | Hoffenheim · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.88 |
| M9 | Dortmund · Home29 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.70 |
| M10 | Union Berlin · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.43 |
| M11 | Werder Bremen · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | +2.01 |
| M12 | Stuttgart · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.72 |
| M13 | Augsburg · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.63 |
| M14 | Bayern Munich · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +2.50 | +1.88 |
| M15 | Leverkusen · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.43 | +1.45 |
| M16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.55 |
| M17 | RB Leipzig · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.43 | +4.98 |
| M18 | Darmstadt · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +4.30 |
| M19 | Mainz · Home26 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.71 |
| M20 | FC Koln · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.26 |
| M21 | Bochum · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +3.39 |
| M22 | Freiburg · Away18 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.27 | +3.12 |
| M23 | Wolfsburg · Home25 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.66 |
| M24 | Heidenheim · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.19 |
| M25 | Hoffenheim · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +5.52 |
| M26 | Dortmund · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +4.68 |
| M27 | Union Berlin · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +3.93 |
| M28 | Werder Bremen · Home5 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +3.09 |
| M29 | Stuttgart · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +2.43 |
| M30 | Augsburg · Home19 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.71 |
| M31 | Bayern Munich · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +3.07 |
| M32 | Leverkusen · Home5 May 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.27 | +1.80 |
| M33 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +1.39 |
| M34 | RB Leipzig · Home18 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.91 |
| Total | 47 | +0.91 | |||