Points
27Points expected by the market
37.33Gap
−10.33Yield
−62.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.19 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 2 | −4.52 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.54 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 6 | −5.16 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.19 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 2 | −4.52 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +2.81 | +28.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.57 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.27 | −47.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −2.58 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dortmund · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.65 |
| M2 | Wolfsburg · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.25 |
| M3 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −2.36 |
| M4 | Hoffenheim · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −3.93 |
| M5 | Werder Bremen · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.20 |
| M6 | Stuttgart · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −6.50 |
| M7 | Leverkusen · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | −6.92 |
| M8 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −5.36 |
| M9 | RB Leipzig · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.64 | −6.00 |
| M10 | Augsburg · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −6.65 |
| M11 | Bochum · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −7.00 |
| M12 | Bayern Munich · Home24 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | −7.43 |
| M13 | Darmstadt · Away1 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −5.81 |
| M14 | Mainz · Home10 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −6.18 |
| M15 | Freiburg · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −7.14 |
| M16 | Union Berlin · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −8.04 |
| M17 | Heidenheim · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −8.73 |
| M18 | Dortmund · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.72 |
| M19 | Wolfsburg · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −9.56 |
| M20 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −7.82 |
| M21 | Hoffenheim · Away11 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −7.68 |
| M22 | Werder Bremen · Home16 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −9.15 |
| M23 | Stuttgart · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.50 | −8.64 |
| M24 | Leverkusen · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −9.16 |
| M25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.08 | −9.08 |
| M26 | RB Leipzig · Home15 Mar 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.64 | −9.72 |
| M27 | Augsburg · Away31 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −9.54 |
| M28 | Bochum · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −8.07 |
| M29 | Bayern Munich · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −8.43 |
| M30 | Darmstadt · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.19 | −10.62 |
| M31 | Mainz · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −10.35 |
| M32 | Freiburg · Home4 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −10.79 |
| M33 | Union Berlin · Home11 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −9.18 |
| M34 | Heidenheim · Away18 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −10.33 |
| Total | 27 | −10.33 | |||