Points
42Points expected by the market
43.39Gap
−1.39Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.81 | +10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −1.22 | −0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −3.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +2.70 | +3.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −4.66 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.11 | +74.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +3.44 | +44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −2.89 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hoffenheim · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.83 |
| M2 | Werder Bremen · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.94 |
| M3 | Stuttgart · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.74 |
| M4 | Dortmund · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.49 |
| M5 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.34 |
| M6 | Augsburg · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.52 |
| M7 | Bayern Munich · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.23 | +1.28 |
| M8 | Bochum · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.43 |
| M9 | Leverkusen · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | +2.05 |
| M10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.37 |
| M11 | RB Leipzig · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | +0.73 |
| M12 | Darmstadt · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.09 | −0.35 |
| M13 | Mainz · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.47 |
| M14 | Wolfsburg · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.32 |
| M15 | FC Koln · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.54 |
| M16 | Heidenheim · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.02 |
| M17 | Union Berlin · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.38 |
| M18 | Hoffenheim · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.71 |
| M19 | Werder Bremen · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.46 |
| M20 | Stuttgart · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.29 |
| M21 | Dortmund · Away9 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.64 |
| M22 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home18 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.19 |
| M23 | Augsburg · Away25 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.07 |
| M24 | Bayern Munich · Home1 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.74 |
| M25 | Bochum · Away10 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.97 |
| M26 | Leverkusen · Home17 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.31 |
| M27 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.19 |
| M28 | RB Leipzig · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.75 | +1.44 |
| M29 | Darmstadt · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.55 |
| M30 | Mainz · Home21 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +2.29 |
| M31 | Wolfsburg · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.76 |
| M32 | FC Koln · Away4 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.47 |
| M33 | Heidenheim · Home11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.40 |
| M34 | Union Berlin · Away18 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.39 |
| Total | 42 | −1.39 | |||