Points
42Points expected by the market
33.70Gap
+8.30Yield
+6.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.01 | +104.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.46 | −28.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 18 | +4.76 | +13.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.59 | +98.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.37 | −22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +3.46 | +214.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.42 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | +1.30 | −40.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolfsburg · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.80 |
| M2 | Hoffenheim · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.99 |
| M3 | Dortmund · Away1 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.57 | −1.42 |
| M4 | Werder Bremen · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.09 |
| M5 | Leverkusen · Away24 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.26 |
| M6 | Union Berlin · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.54 |
| M7 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.67 |
| M8 | Augsburg · Home22 Oct 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.84 |
| M9 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.70 |
| M10 | Stuttgart · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +0.54 |
| M11 | Bayern Munich · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.22 | +0.32 |
| M12 | Bochum · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.17 |
| M13 | RB Leipzig · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.54 |
| M14 | Darmstadt · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.65 |
| M15 | Mainz · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.79 |
| M16 | Freiburg · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +4.59 |
| M17 | FC Koln · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +4.55 |
| M18 | Wolfsburg · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +4.24 |
| M19 | Hoffenheim · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.37 |
| M20 | Dortmund · Home2 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +4.27 |
| M21 | Werder Bremen · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +6.34 |
| M22 | Leverkusen · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +5.78 |
| M23 | Union Berlin · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +5.86 |
| M24 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +4.61 |
| M25 | Augsburg · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +3.78 |
| M26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +3.41 |
| M27 | Stuttgart · Away31 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.54 | +3.95 |
| M28 | Bayern Munich · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.43 | +6.38 |
| M29 | Bochum · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +6.28 |
| M30 | RB Leipzig · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +5.63 |
| M31 | Darmstadt · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +7.05 |
| M32 | Mainz · Home5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +6.79 |
| M33 | Freiburg · Away11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +6.91 |
| M34 | FC Koln · Home18 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +8.30 |
| Total | 42 | +8.30 | |||